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Table 2 Supply projection scenarios and assumptions

From: The future prospects of Lithuanian family physicians: a 10-year forecasting study

Variables First scenario Second scenario Third scenario
Duration of residency studies 3 years 3 years 3 years
Population projections Optimistic Medium Pessimistic
Annual mortality rate 0.47% 0.47% 0.47%
Annual retirement rate At the age of 71 years At the age of 71 years At the age of 66 years
Annual migration rate Optimistic rate Medium rate Pessimistic rate
Enrolment in residency studies Increased by 20% (46) At the level of 2004 (38) Decreased by 20% (30)
Drop out rate during residency 1% 1.5% 2%