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Table 3 Diagnostic accuracy of the MM-BM DDx model by deciles. This table showed sensitivity, specificity, and positive likelihood ratio at each decile of model-predicted odds of multiple myeloma from clinical laboratory values

From: Development of a clinical diagnostic tool to differentiate multiple myeloma from bone metastasis in patients with destructive bone lesions (MM-BM DDx)

Decile

n

MM

BM

Median predicted odds

Range of predicted odds (min, max)

Sensitivity

(95% CI)

Specificity

(95% CI)

LHR+

(95% CI)

D1

58

1

57

0.016

0.003, 0.027

100.0 (97.3, 100.0)

0 (0, 0.02)

0.06 (0.00, 0.34)

D2

59

2

57

0.037

0.027, 0.046

99.3 (96.0, 100.0)

12.7 (9.7, 16.1)

0.11 (0.01, 0.45)

D3

58

2

56

0.057

0.046, 0.067

97.8 (93.7, 99.5)

25.3 (21.4, 29.6)

0.11 (0.01, 0.46)

D4

59

4

55

0.075

0.067, 0.087

96.3 (91.6, 98.8)

37.8 (33.3, 42.4)

0.24 (0.06, 0.67)

D5

59

3

56

0.104

0.088, 0.118

93.4 (87.8, 96.9)

50.0 (45.3, 54.7)

0.18 (0.04, 0.56)

D6

58

6

52

0.129

0.118, 0.150

91.2 (85.1, 95.4)

62.4 (57.8, 66.9)

0.38 (0.13, 0.92)

D7

59

10

49

0.183

0.152, 0.227

86.8 (79.9, 92.0)

74.0 (69.7, 78.0)

0.68 (0.30, 1.40)

D8

58

18

40

0.356

0.229, 0.526

79.4 (71.6, 85.9)

84.9 (81.2, 88.1)

1.49 (0.78, 2.76)

D9

59

35

24

1.257

0.543, 3.222

66.2 (57.6, 74.1)

93.8 (91.1, 95.8)

4.83 (2.68, 8.77)

D10

59

55

4

14.864

3.330, 3111.405

40.4 (32.1, 49.2)

99.1 (97.7, 99.8)

45.50 (16.26, 174.85)

Total

586

136

450

     
  1. Abbreviations: MM Multiple myeloma, BM Bone metastasis, min Minimum, max, Maximum, CI Confidence interval, LHR+ Positive likelihood ratio, D Decile