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Table 3 Variables / assumptions and their influence on estimated losses / gains to the profession of FPs in 2006–2015

From: The future prospects of Lithuanian family physicians: a 10-year forecasting study

Variable Assumption Estimated losses from profession during 2006–2015 Estimated gains to profession during 2006–2015
Annual mortality rate 0.47% 88 -
Annual retirement rate At the age 71 years 40 -
  At the age of 66 years 110 -
Annual migration rate 0.6% 116 -
  1.1% 207 -
  2.2% 381 -
Enrolment in residency programs Decreased by 20% - 444
  At the level of 2004 - 503
  Increased by 20% - 569
Drop out rate during residency 1% 5 -
  1.5% 6 -
  2% 6 -