Table 3 Impact of pessimistic alternative assumptions for SBI delivery costs and effectiveness estimates: ICERs versus a ‘do-nothing’ scenario
Next registration | Base case | Lower hospital costs (-25% for estimated values) | Higher GP costs (€1.58/min) | Longer intervention (24.9 min) | Longer intervention, higher GP costs & cheaper hospital costs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Base case | € 550 | € 1000 | € 2000 | € 3900 | € 7400 |
Less effective (5.9% reduction) | € 3600 | € 4100 | € 5900 | € 8800 | € 14000 |
Shorter effect (3 year rebound) | € 7500 | € 8000 | € 10900 | € 15100 | € 22500 |
Less effective & shorter effect (5.9% reduction & 3 year rebound) | € 14300 | € 14800 | € 19400 | € 26000 | € 37200 |
Next consultation | Base case | Lower hospital costs (-25% for estimated values) | Higher GP costs (€1.58/min) | Longer intervention (24.9 min) | Longer intervention, higher GP costs & cheaper hospital costs |
Base case | € 590 | € 950 | € 1900 | € 3600 | € 6700 |
Less effective (5.9% reduction) | € 2500 | € 3700 | € 5400 | € 8000 | € 12600 |
Shorter effect (3 year rebound) | € 5900 | € 7400 | € 10100 | € 13900 | € 20600 |
Less effective & shorter effect (5.9% reduction & 3 year rebound) | € 11600 | € 13600 | € 17900 | € 23900 | € 33900 |